The Flawed Logic of Craps Systems: Uncovering the Reality of the House Edge

By John Grochowski

Practically every craps system has an internal logic that makes sense to the people who use it in casinos.

If you place 6 and 8 at the same time, you have 10 ways to win and only six ways to lose, right? If you bet pass and don’t pass at the same time, then lay odds on don’t without taking them on pass, don’t you have your big bets down when you’re favored to win?

And if you bet don’t pass, then lay odds on 4, 5, 9 or 10 but not on 6 and 8, aren’t you skipping the numbers that are most in the shooter’s favor?

Every one of those systems comes with a big “Yes … but …”

There are flaws in the logic that disguise the reality of the unchanging house edge.

Let’s take a closer look at each.

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