CAN UNDERSTANDING HOT AND COLD ROULETTE NUMBERS IMPROVE YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING?

CAN UNDERSTANDING HOT AND COLD ROULETTE NUMBERS IMPROVE YOUR CHANCES OF WINNING?


This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

AC says: There are ways to beat roulette, e.g., exploiting biased wheels or applying physics in what’s referred to as prediction, but playing hot or cold numbers isn’t one of them. To be fair, the author cautions several times that hot- and-cold-number strategies can blow up in your face, but he never comes out and debunks them. On the contrary, while no specific claims are made, the tone of the article is that this might be a winning strategy. It’s not. If you’re a systems player who doesn’t mind playing a negative-expectation game, playing hot or cold numbers won’t make things any worse than betting randomly, so there’s no real harm done. Just be aware that your expectation on every bet on a double-zero wheel is -5.26%. A better strategy is to find a wheel (for the same stakes) with a single zero to cut the edge to -2.7%. Better yet, play with a 2-1 matchplay coupon.

This article was written by Stephen R. Tabone in association with 888Casino.

Can understanding hot and cold roulette numbers improve your chances of winning?

Roulette is a game of chance, but we are always on the lookout for strategies to improve our odds of winning. One of the most popular roulette strategies is based on hot and cold numbers. But will understanding and implementing it improve our chances of winning?

In this article, I will explain what hot and cold numbers are, and whether betting on them can really help you win at roulette. I will also introduce a new roulette betting strategy that focuses on warm zone roulette numbers, which may increase your chances of winning.

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Podcast – mail bag 4/27/2023

Podcast - Buddy Frank & G2E 2022


 No guest this week as we answer questions from our mail bag. 

We welcome your questions – send them to us at [email protected], or you can find me at @RWM21 on Twitter or https://www.facebook.com/GamblingWithAnEdge.

podcast – https://www.spreaker.com/user/7418966/mail04132023a

Show Notes

[00:00]  Introduction

[04:46]  RNGs in video poker

[05:47]  Las Vegas Advisor free play strategies

[06:57]  Does play on a cruise affect ADT or status at brick and mortar casinos

[10:05]  Video poker session length

[12;41]  Second language value for APs

[15:25]  Video poker progressives strategy cards, common progressive games

[17:43]  Generating losses, lifetime win for slot players

[19:09]  Recording video poker sessions

[20:48]  Books about Las Vegas

[26:39]  Ultimate X Gold strategy

[29:06]  A player who lives on a boat and travels to play promotions

[30:48]  Video poker card frequencies

[31:46]  Blackjack spreads and playing for comps

[33:00]  Playing at a newly opened casino

[36:08]  Commercials

[38:29]  Favorite advantage play game

[41:11]  Remaining in a casino’s database, OSN

[43:30]  Misdeals 

[44:35]  Doubling on 12 as cover

[47:05]  Buying in at tables with slot tickets

[49:05]  Recommended:  The Night Agent on Netflix

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Hanging on to Points – Gambling With An Edge

Putting Bills Into a Machine


At most casinos, you accumulate slot club points. Sometimes these are good for comps only. Sometimes you can redeem them for cash and/or free play. 

When you redeem slot club points for cash or free play, this is taxable income. I know that many players “forget” to report this, but it’s taxable nonetheless.

Eventually one needs to redeem these points — one way or the other. In this blog, I’m only addressing the situation where the points can be monetized into free play or cash. Often these points can also be redeemed for comps.

If I have a losing year gambling (I’ve had four of them in the past 28 years), I redeem everything I can before the end of the year. This ends up reducing my loss, and, for professional gamblers at least, reduces my taxes. If I receive $1,000 in free play in a losing year, there isn’t any direct tax implication. If I let it stay in the casino’s control and redeem the money in a year that I win, it has direct tax implications.

If I’m visiting an out-of-town casino, I cash out at the end of my stay whether I’m ahead or behind this year. After all, I’m not sure when I’ll be back. Even if I’m planning  to return next year, a lot of things can happen between now and then preventing my return. 

I’ve reported that I play at both Harrah’s Cherokee in North Carolina and Eldorado in Reno. For me, these are both out of town. At the same time, these are both part of the Caesars system which allows me to redeem my points at any of their properties — including ones within ten miles of where I live. So in this case, I don’t count these properties as out-of-town visits requiring me to cash out my points at the end of each trip.

But there’s another reason I cash out my points at these properties. That is, at Caesars properties, when it comes time for a host to comp away my food and beverage charges accumulated during my trips, the host is required to spend my points (Reward Credits or RCs) before he can comp anything. 

If my Reward Credit balance is zero, the host is allowed to (but not required to) comp my food and other charges. Therefore, I convert my points to free play before I check out. 

This is not costless. At Caesars properties (most of them anyway), you can redeem RCs at a 1-for-2 basis for free play. That is, $1,000 in food comps turns into $500 free play. Still, if your host and will comp the food charges, converting the RCs to free play is money in the bank. 

If I weren’t a big enough player so the host can comp, then it might well make sense to keep a balance of RCs. But since I usually play enough to earn host comps, I tend to zero out my Reward Credits.

At some Caesars properties, a player is limited to converting 100,000 Reward Credits (worth $1,000 in comps) to $500 in free play per day. If you have a really big balance of Reward Credits, it’ll take you some time to convert them all. 

I don’t know the ins and outs of the slot club at other casino mega-clubs that are good at several properties (like MGM, or Penn National, etc.) because my play is restricted at these properties. A smart player will learn the ins and outs of each club where he/she plays.

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Problem Gambling & Distracted Driving

Preventing the Link Between Crime & Problem Gambling


According to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, distracted driving was responsible for the death of 3,142 people in 2020.[1] This April, the Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling (FCCG) is not only honoring National Distracted Driving Awareness Month and highlighting the correlation between gambling preoccupations and distracted driving, but we are also focusing on sharing ways to keep you safe on the road. 

One of the major signs of a gambling problem is a constant preoccupation with placing bets, checking online wagers, and finding additional funds with which to gamble. This never-ending brain chatter inherently leads to compulsive gamblers being very distracted while completing daily activities, including driving. Whether they are driving to a gambling facility and anticipating their experiences there, leaving a casino and ruminating on their losses, or listening to the radio for updates on sports bets, gamblers’ minds are everywhere but the road ahead. As those who gamble deal with pending consequences of their losses and the ramifications, they may have on those they love, exhaustion and desperation can be a dangerous combination as they make their way to their destination. 

Studies show that problem gambling has a similar effect on the brain as alcohol, however when someone crashes their car after compulsively gambling, they normally don’t classify it as what it is — impaired driving. [2] Compulsive gamblers often feel a loss of control so if you ever do and find yourself walking to your car, stop yourself, go back in and talk with someone there or better yet call or text FCCG’s Your One Sure Thing 888-ADMIT IT for help in that moment. Someone is there 24/7 to support and help you find what you need to stay safe.

Exacerbating the issue, online and mobile gambling have taken driving distractions to a new level. Texting and driving is a major and growing issue for today’s population, from drivers and passengers to pedestrians, and checking online bets, stocks/cryptocurrency trading apps, or even playing online casino games while behind the wheel can lead to fatal consequences. 

How to Prevent Distracted Driving Due to Gambling Preoccupations

Put your phone away – Distracted driving and phone usage go hand in hand. If the temptation to check online bets, sports results, or other apps is too much to resist, a good strategy is to leave cellphones out of reach while driving. Place your phone in the trunk of your car to ensure you are not able to check it from the driver’s seat. 

Listen to support materials in audio format – Available through the Problem Gambling HelpLine, the FCCG’s A Chance for Change Recovery Workbooks can be provided in audio format, allowing gamblers to listen to supportive content while driving. With series available for seniors, youth gamblers and even loved ones of problem gamblers, you can arm yourself with knowledge and practical tips to manage and recover from problem gambling.

If you or someone you know could be at risk due to distracted driving related to problem gambling, the time to get help is NOW. Through Your One Sure Thing, Florida’s Problem Gambling HelpLine, 888-ADMIT-IT, compulsive gamblers and their loved ones can access resources including speaking to a highly trained specialist able to listen without judgement and offer actionable steps towards recovery. Don’t wait to seek support — these resources are available for free 24/7 for all Floridians.  

  1. Stewart, Timothy. “Overview of Motor Vehicle Crashes in 2020.” National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, March 2022. https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/813266.
  2. “Alcoholism and Gambling Addiction.” Alcohol Rehab Guide, 31 Oct. 2022, https://www.alcoholrehabguide.org/resources/dual-diagnosis/alcoholism-and-gambling-addiction/.



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Apuestas Problemáticas y Conducción Distraída

Preventing the Link Between Crime & Problem Gambling


Según la Administración Nacional de Seguridad del Tráfico en Carreteras, la conducción distraída fue responsable de la muerte de 3,142 personas en 2020.[1] Este mes de abril, el Consejo de Apuestas Compulsivas de Florida (FCCG) no solo honra el Mes Nacional de Concientización sobre la Conducción Distraída y destaca la correlación entre las preocupaciones por las apuestas y la conducción distraída, sino que también nos estamos concentrando en compartir formas de mantenerlo seguro en la carretera. 

Uno de los principales signos de un problema de juego es una preocupación constante por hacer apuestas, verificar las apuestas en línea y encontrar fondos adicionales con los que jugar. Esta charla cerebral interminable conduce inherentemente a que los apostadores compulsivos se distraigan mucho mientras completan las actividades diarias, incluida la conducción. Ya sea que estén conduciendo a una instalación de apuestas y previendo sus experiencias allí, saliendo de un casino y rumiando sobre sus pérdidas, o escuchando la radio para obtener actualizaciones sobre apuestas deportivas, las mentes de los jugadores están en todas partes menos en el camino que tienen delante. A medida que aquellos que apuestan lidian con las consecuencias pendientes de sus pérdidas y las ramificaciones que pueden tener para sus seres queridos, el agotamiento y la desesperación pueden ser una combinación peligrosa mientras se dirigen a su destino. 

Los estudios demuestran que las apuestas problemáticas tienen un efecto similar al del alcohol en el cerebro; sin embargo, cuando alguien choca su automóvil después de apostar compulsivamente, normalmente no lo clasifican como lo que es: conducción en mal estado. [2] Los apostadores compulsivos a menudo sienten una pérdida de control, así que, si alguna vez la siente y se encuentra caminando hacia su automóvil, deténgase, vuelva a entrar y hable con alguien allí o, mejor aún, llame o envíe un mensaje de texto a Your One Sure Thing 888-ADMIT IT de FCCG para obtener ayuda en ese momento. Hay alguien allí las 24 horas del día, los 7 días de la semana para apoyarlo y ayudarle a encontrar lo que necesita para mantenerse seguro.

Para agravar el problema, las apuestas  en línea y móviles han llevado las distracciones de la conducción a un nuevo nivel. Enviar mensajes de texto y conducir es un problema importante y creciente para la población actual, desde conductores y pasajeros hasta peatones, y verificar apuestas en línea, aplicaciones de comercio de acciones o criptomonedas, o incluso jugar juegos de casino en línea mientras uno está tras el volante puede llevar a consecuencias mortales. 

Cómo prevenir la conducción distraída debido a preocupaciones por las apuestas

Guarde el teléfono – La conducción distraída y el uso del teléfono van de la mano. Si la tentación de revisar las apuestas en línea, los resultados deportivos u otras aplicaciones es demasiado grande como para resistirla, una buena estrategia es dejar los teléfonos celulares fuera de su alcance mientras conduce. Coloque el teléfono en la cajuela del automóvil para asegurarse de que no pueda revisarlo desde el asiento del conductor. 

Escuche los materiales de apoyo en formato de audio – Disponibles a través de la Línea de Ayuda para Apuestas Problemáticas, los libros de trabajo de recuperación A Chance for Change (Una oportunidad para el cambio) de FCCG se pueden proporcionar en formato de audio, lo que permite a los apostadores escuchar contenido de apoyo mientras conducen. Con series disponibles para personas mayores, apostadores jóvenes e incluso seres queridos de apostadores con problemas, usted puede armarse con conocimientos y consejos prácticos para manejar y recuperarse del problema de las apuestas.

Si usted o alguien a quien conoce podrían estar en riesgo debido a la conducción distraída relacionada con problemas con las apuestas, el momento de obtener ayuda es AHORA. A través de Your One Sure Thing, la Línea de Ayuda sobre Apuestas Problemáticas de Florida,  888-ADMIT-IT, los apostadores compulsivos y sus seres queridos pueden acceder a recursos que incluyen hablar con un especialista altamente capacitado que puede escuchar sin juzgar y ofrecer pasos prácticos hacia la recuperación. No espere para buscar apoyo: estos recursos están disponibles de forma gratuita las 24 horas del día, los 7 días de la semana para todos los floridanos.  

  1. Stewart, Timothy. “Descripción general de los accidentes automovilísticos en 2020”. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, marzo de 2022. https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/813266.
  2. “Alcoholismo y adicción al juego”. Alcohol Rehab Guide, 31 de octubre de 2022, https://www.alcoholrehabguide.org/resources/dual-diagnosis/alcoholism-and-gambling-addiction/.



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Blackjack and Numbers – Gambling With An Edge

Blackjack and Numbers - Gambling With An Edge


This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page

AC says: Experienced blackjack players might get the initial impression that this article is too rudimentary to bother reading. Resist that urge. While it addresses aspects of the game that you may already know about, John Grochowski clarifies things in an interesting way using the “numbers” theme. I’ve never seen the 34/55 discussion before, but it helps sum up what you’re looking at in a basic strategy chart and, as a bonus, touches on the little-discussed topic of composition-dependent basic strategy, which is something many won’t have already known about. 

This article was written by John Grochowski in association with 888Casino.

Blackjack and Numbers

Blackjack is a game of numbers.

Regardless of whether you play live or online casinos, you have numbers for card values: 1 or 11 for an Ace, 10 for 10s and face cards, and face values such as 2 for 2s, 3 for 3s and so on for the rest.

Those lead to hand totals. A 9, a 3 and a 5 total 17. A Queen and a Jack total 20.

Twenty-one is an important number. If your total exceeds 21, you lose. If it’s 21 or less, you win if your total is higher than the dealer’s.

Another important number is 17. Dealers must hit a total of less than 17 and must stand on any total greater than 17. Seventeen itself is murky territory. Dealers always must stand on hard 17, but some casinos require dealers to hit soft 17.

Click to continue reading …

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Podcast – Captain Jack Andrews 4/20/2023

Podcast - Buddy Frank & G2E 2022


Our guest this week is Captain Jack Andrews on for our final episode about sports betting.  We talk about the state of the industry, as well as some of the tools at unabated.com.

.

 

[00:00]  Introduction of Captain Jack Andrews of Unabated.com

[01:16]  Unabated tools exploited market inefficiencies

[06:45]  Correlations between card counting and sports betting

[11:02]  Synthetic hold and outs

[14:58]  How will sports betting evolve over the next few years?

[19:40]  Micro betting and lag time, free rolls

[23:37]  Vulnerabilities in new types of bets

[25:45]  Line shopping

[29:28]  Captain Jack’s favorite memories of GWAE

[36:56]  Commercials

[38:56]  GWAE sponsors

[40:08]  Upcoming things at Unabated, alt line pricing

[45:33]  Parlays as cover

[50:31]  Variance and tipping costs

[51:09]  Captain Jack’s final thoughts on GWAE

[52:43]  Recommended:  People I Mostly Admire podcast

Sponsored Links:

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Books Referenced:

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It Goes Both Ways – Gambling With An Edge

Putting Bills Into a Machine


In January, I had an incident at the Harrah’s Cherokee casino that I wrote about. I started my trip by taking a $20,000 marker, consisting of eight $2,500 TITO tickets and began to play $5 Deuces Wild. When I hit four deuces, I got two more of the same size . When I hit royals, I collected eight more.

It was a very successful trip and at the end, I had far more than eight of these tickets. I had signed for every one of them. At the end of the trip when I cashed out, the cage said one of the $2,500 tickets had been cancelled. They weren’t going to pay it until they figured it out.

Eventually, it got straightened out and I got paid. It took a bit longer than I would have preferred, but all’s well that ends well. 

In April, I returned to Cherokee. I started my trip as I did before — taking out a $20,000 marker asking for $2,500 tickets. It took a bit longer than usual — the one ticket-making machine was being used to create tickets for somebody else — but eventually I was summoned to the window and my tickets were ready.

When you get these tickets at Cherokee, you need to sign for them. The ticket number of each ticket is recorded, and to the right of the ticket numbers, it’s typical to draw a slanted line and sign on the top of that line. This means you’re signing for all of them.

I was presented the sheet to sign and I noticed there were ten entries. It doesn’t take a math major to realize that ten tickets of $2,500 add up to $25,000 rather than $20,000. I looked at it closely. Had the tickets been made for $2,000 each instead, the amount of money represented by the tickets would have been $20,000. This was not what I had requested exactly, but certainly acceptable.

But no. The tickets were each for $2,500 and there were ten of them. I know this is a mistake, but I take a few seconds to ponder my next move. I was pretty sure I was going to refuse to take the extra two tickets, but I wanted to consider my options. Had I signed and taken the tickets as presented, I would have gotten a $5,000 unintended bonanza. But one that was well documented. Should the audit department be paying attention at all, in a day or two I might well get a tap on the shoulder and be asked for the return of $5,000.

I could feign ignorance, of course. After all, a lot of people sign things without doing all the calculations. I could easily say, “I didn’t really count things. I assumed it was correct.” They couldn’t prove I was lying — but I didn’t want to be under suspicion of “taking a shot.”

My philosophy on keeping an unexpected windfall goes something like this: “If I get a windfall that can’t be traced back to me, keep it. If it can be traced back to me, give it back. If one individual cashier or other employee will have to make up the shortfall, don’t take the windfall. Probably somebody working for wages needs the money more than I do.” Another factor is the last time there was a dispute over tickets at this casino, it ended up going my way. I know things can’t always go my way.

So, I spoke up. The cashier took the tickets back and went away. He returned shortly with eight $2,500 tickets and a new form for me to sign. 

I don’t know how he went from 10 tickets down to eight. If he just cancelled two of them, I couldn’t be positive that the two he cancelled had the same numbers as the two that were no longer on the list I signed.

So I decided that if I hit jackpots before I went through this $20,000, I would get tickets in sizes other than $2,500 so I could make sure I used up the original ones I received. If I got a royal, I’d ask for ten $2,000 tickets. If I get four deuces, I’d ask for four $1,250 tickets. This will make it easier to identify the original tickets and make sure I didn’t try to sell them back.

This ended up being a losing trip, but at the end of the day I’m happy with the way I handled things.

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Dealing Blackjack to Ken Uston and the Amazing Kreskin

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by John Stathis

[Editor’s Note: This was a comment we liked so much that we turned it into a blog post. You can find more more information on John Stathis at his YouTube channel.]

While I was working at the Sahara Reno in August 1978, a cheer was heared among the pit when it was announced that blackjack legend Ken Uston was beat up by security at the Mapes Money Tree. Didn’t know who Uston was until the pit bosses claimed he was a cheat and deserved the thumping. Others said he was a card counter and this was a message to card counters all over the world. This perked my interest in card counting and the challenge it provides.

On an another occasion at Harolds Club, a pit boss gave me a tap on the shoulder while dealing craps and instructed me to deal 21 to a high roller who was winning big. The whale turned out to be blackjack legend Ken Uston who was playing $500 chips and torching the table. The superstitious pit felt that a craps dealer can put an end to Uston’s winning streak. I happened to be on a winning run for the house and beat him until he finally surrendered after losing much of his winnings back. Maybe the other dealers weren’t protecting the game such as exposing hole cards and delivering tells to Uston when checking for blackjacks. In Uston’s book “Million Dollar Blackjack” he refers to “Barbara, the Harolds Club front-loader” (front loader – a careless dealer who exposes the hole card in the process of dealing) and maybe I was sent to replace Barbara who was dumping house money.

I dealt to the Amazing Kreskin and was wondering if Kreskin could read my mind while peeking under a ten card or ace, looking for the dreaded dealer blackjack. Kreskin said he does not read minds and plays blackjack to unwind after a show. He also said that Harrah’s barred him from playing blackjack and was welcome at Harolds Club playing this small amount.

The Amazing Kreskin is a true blackjack aficionado and from my own empirical analysis, one of the best 21 players in the world. He uses playing cards for a living as a mentalist and probably is as close to Ray from the movie “Rainman” in his ability to remember cards as anyone in the world.

While dealing craps in Las Vegas in 1980, a casino called The Treasury (now Oyo) on Tropicana Avenue displayed Uston’s name on its marquee. He was giving lessons on card counting at this casino! Did he sell his soul to the enemy or want to see his name in lights? Is card counting bunk and a scam was my first impression during the sight of this marquee.

Recalling Kreskin’s skill at winning at blackjack has stuck to this day. Kreskin did not use weak dealers to gain an advantage and probably used his knowledge of excess aces and tens to win. Bet with your head instead of over it and don’t worry about “cheaters justice” (from the movie Casino) because the corporations running casinos now are smart enough to avoid the old tactics.

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CRASH COURSE CRAPS – Gambling With An Edge

CRASH COURSE CRAPS - Gambling With An Edge


This post is syndicated by the Las Vegas Advisor for the 888 casino group. Anthony Curtis comments on the 888 article introduced and linked to on this page.

A.C. says: A good primer for beginners, with advice on how to start playing craps immediately. The article points out that despite the many wagering options on a crap table, the bets with the lowest house advantage are the basic ones — pass and come (-1.41%) and placing the 6 and 8 (1.52%). Taking odds, which is a zero-vig bet (paid at true odds), is also discussed. Author Frank Scoblete advises against making multiple bets on a roll, which is a good practice when playing any negative-expectation game. He also emphasizes the entertainment value of being the shooter. I agree. In addition, shooting can be a source of profit. Sometimes when a player (especially female) holds the dice for a long time— i.e., makes several consecutive passes — players who’ve also won money on the roll will tip the shooter. I take some issue with the reference to “skill at shooting,” which alludes to “dice control,” as it’s not something that I put much stock in. Controlled dice shooting is a subject for another discussion.

This article was written by Frank Scoblete in association with 888Casino.

Crash Course Craps

Don’t be afraid. 

I know that many novice craps players or players initially looking over the craps game, perhaps thinking they might try it, can be intimidated by the layout which seems as complicated as cuneiform writing or Egyptian hieroglyphics.

Yes, that layout does seem complicated but in truth the game is easy to play and if played properly gives the player a decent chance of beating the house on any given session. Of course, the key words here are “if played properly.”

Craps is a game that is often played incorrectly by players who make some of the worst bets in the game, which translates into some of the worst bets in the casino as well. Bad bets make it much, much tougher to have a victory over the casinos’ mathematical edges at craps and other games.

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